Hence, an arms race.
The term “arms race” has a definition and I’m pretty sure this still doesn’t apply. So in my opinion, even at best, this is political propaganda.
An “arms race” is a competition over the quality or quantity of military capabilities between states in the international system.
The US and China are in an economic race. We aren’t racing to develop a particular military capability. Nobody can even name what that capability would be… “mass hacking?” Is that it? Sounds scary… I don’t buy it. It gives me the impression of fear mongering.
If it were about AI driven military capabilities, we could have probably worked with the compute we had years ago.
I think what should be obvious is the fact that “can be used as a weapon” doesn’t justify it being an “arm.” The fact that they can “hack” now is largely irrelevant. It’s a nice talking point that was parroted around the AI circle jerk recently, but largely unsubstantiated. I think they all caught on to the hype Mythos was getting, so they took the narrative for another spin. But even Mythos was a load of propaganda.
How do you know it wasn’t conveniently allowed to happen, to further fuel the propaganda machine? How do you know they didn’t exaggerate or leave blank important details, particularly because they’re financially incentivized to maintain the hype?
State actors have always hacked one another. Now with a fancy tool to do automated discovery, they might be a little faster. But that speed is also arguable, because there are reports on how AI led development actually shifts the development time burden rather than resolving it.
In case it isn’t obvious, there are experts in this field that aren’t employed by AI.
Those experts in the field (that aren’t employed by AI) mostly agree with this stance, from what I can tell.
I linked a paper in one of my earlier replies. Here’s another by a different author: tnsr.org/…/debunking-the-ai-arms-race-theory/
… and, I just found a table. Here’s 7 more I guess.
Experts Published position Paul Scharre “Debunking the AI Arms Race Theory” Heather Roff “The frame problem: The AI ‘arms race’ isn’t one” Stefka Schmid, Daniel Lambach, Carlo Diehl and Christian Reuter “Arms Race or Innovation Race? Geopolitical AI Development” Alexander Pascal and Tim Hwang “Artificial Intelligence Isn’t an Arms Race” Remco Zwetsloot, Helen Toner and Jeffrey Ding “Beyond the AI Arms Race” Yonathan Arbel and Matthew Tokson “The AI Race Isn’t Real” Colin Kahl “The Myth of the AI Race”