Replying to an earlier post

I’m not necessarily suggesting Doctorow is correct with this assertion, but on a macro scale what productivity gains will generate AI provide?

Yes there’s a few skills it’s good at coding, medical research, and image recognition being a few.

The genuine question is: has this improved everyone’s quality of life?

en

Replying to @⁨fizzle@quokk.au⁩

I work at a sales-first (read: no accountability) software company, ran by inept nepo-babies and a hostile VC. I frequently have to completely re-do all of the sales engineering work when a new project starts, because they refuse to standardize or talk to each other.

After enough time doing this shit by hand, I took my best examples from previous projects and had an agent “fix the errors based on the conventions I established over here”. Instead of going line by line on these big serialized data formats now, I do about 10min of checking the results and editing down the change log.

It’s wack that I have to re-do someone else’s job still, but at least I can force some version of standardization without killing myself on the tedious bits.

Replying to @⁨fizzle@quokk.au⁩

It’s improved mine. I save hours (that I didn’t really have anyhow) on meaningless tedium. I thought that was pretty obviously implied though?

Maybe it helps to say that this was in no way forced on me. The stuff my employer has done to “adapt AI” is laughable and seemed to be nothing more than lip service to the execs who want to slap that sticker on the product.

The gains for me personally have been strictly using it as a tool in niche situations. I prefer to do things the hard way when it’s for me but I’m not breaking my back for a corporation.

Replying to an earlier post

Because they’re not really successes.

No one here is saying AI has reduce their workload so now they spend half their time catching butterflies.

The answers are all saying that AI has automated some mundane task that wasn’t particularly important, and now they can spend their time doing something more interesting.

Is the changes to their role, multiplied by millions of employees, actually better for humanity or society?

In a way, this is what Doctorow is arguing: where is the data showing the productivity gains.

My follow up question is, how are these productivity gains being used, if they exist.

Replying to @⁨fizzle@quokk.au⁩

Aren’t you assuming productivity gains will lead to free time? Why? It never has. Most of us work a fixed amount of time and get paid for that time. Not the amount of tasks we finish if that can even be measured.

Salaries have also not increased with increased productivity long before chatbots came online. So they won’t suddenly increase now.

AI is much more just like a new laptop you get from work. The new device is faster, has more RAM and allows you to do more, potentially.

The big question is, if the purchase was worth it. Unlike a new laptop, LLMs are an ongoing cost to users and providers. Nobody except for GPU producers are actually making money right now. Hyperscalers make some of the money back they themselves invested into the companies using their services, but in the end the ROI looks pretty dim for anyone.

So even if there are real productivity gains, you won’t see people relax with their kids more. And even if these gains are significant they may not prevent a huge economic collapse so we all will have plenty of time with our kids in the end anyway.

Replying to @⁨fizzle@quokk.au⁩

With ownership being as concentrated as it is now (more concentrated than during the guilded robber baron age), naturaly, most of the benefit flows to the biggest owners, and AI seems poised to deepen the wealth inequality further.

In a scenario without the insane wealth concentration, and with a dignified and decent economic floor being guaranteed universally, I would be in favor of any AI that does not burn our planet to a crisp and stink up the neighborhood with the gas turbine exhaust.

So in our world as it is, I have to be agaisnt the AI for the foreseeable future.